Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.063395e-05 0.000085 0.000101 0.000119 0.000138 0.000160 0.000184
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.484439e-05 0.000074 0.000096 0.000123 0.000155 0.000190 0.000232
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.412779e-05 0.000065 0.000090 0.000122 0.000161 0.000205 0.000259
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.417951e-05 0.000056 0.000083 0.000119 0.000164 0.000217 0.000283
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.813143e-05 0.000050 0.000079 0.000118 0.000168 0.000229 0.000306
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.309625e-05 0.000045 0.000075 0.000118 0.000174 0.000243 0.000331
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.983075e-05 0.000042 0.000073 0.000119 0.000181 0.000258 0.000358
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.617784e-05 0.000037 0.000070 0.000118 0.000184 0.000268 0.000379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.270288e-05 0.000033 0.000065 0.000115 0.000184 0.000274 0.000393
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.134067e-05 0.000032 0.000065 0.000118 0.000194 0.000292 0.000424
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.627691e-06 0.000027 0.000060 0.000114 0.000192 0.000295 0.000435
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.174650e-06 0.000025 0.000059 0.000114 0.000197 0.000307 0.000458
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.242236e-06 0.000022 0.000054 0.000111 0.000197 0.000313 0.000474
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.478363e-06 0.000021 0.000055 0.000115 0.000207 0.000333 0.000509
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.433681e-06 0.000019 0.000053 0.000114 0.000211 0.000344 0.000532
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.314780e-06 0.000016 0.000049 0.000111 0.000210 0.000348 0.000546
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.689536e-06 0.000014 0.000047 0.000110 0.000213 0.000359 0.000569
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.186742e-06 0.000013 0.000045 0.000110 0.000216 0.000370 0.000591
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.028214e-07 0.000012 0.000045 0.000111 0.000223 0.000385 0.000620
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.690741e-07 0.000011 0.000042 0.000110 0.000225 0.000393 0.000639
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.924319e-07 0.000009 0.000039 0.000107 0.000224 0.000397 0.000652
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.246544e-07 0.000009 0.000040 0.000110 0.000233 0.000416 0.000687
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.062602e-08 0.000007 0.000037 0.000106 0.000230 0.000417 0.000696